Russian forces are marauding forwards in Ukraine at the fastest rate since the early days of the 2022 invasion, taking an area half the size of London over the past month alone, analysts warned.
Kremlin troops first swept through swathes of Ukraine in early 2022 before being pushed back to its east and south.
The 1,000 km (620-mile) front line has been largely static for two years, until the latest, smaller-scale advances that began in July.
But the war is now entering what some Russian and Western officials say could be its most dangerous phase, with Russia reported to be using North Korean troops in Ukraine and Kyiv now using Western-supplied missiles to strike back inside Russia.
Moscow, which like North Korea has not confirmed or denied the presence of the troops, used a hypersonic intermediate-range missile on Ukraine last week and Ukraine reported the biggest Russian drone attack on its territory so far on Tuesday.
“Russia has set new weekly and monthly records for the size of the occupied territory in Ukraine,” independent Russian news group Agentstvo said in a report.
The Russian army captured almost 235 sq km (91 sq miles) in Ukraine over the past week, a weekly record for 2024, it said.
Russian forces had taken 600 sq km (232 sq miles) in November, it added, citing data from DeepState, which studies combat footage and provides front line maps.
Pasi Paroinen, a military analyst with Finland’s Black Bird Group, said Russian forces had taken control of an estimated 667 sq km (257 sq miles) this month, citing data he said could include some October gains noted with a delay.
President Vladimir Putin, who replaced his defence minister in May, has repeatedly said that Russian forces are advancing much more effectively – and that Russia will achieve all its aims in Ukraine, although he has not spelt them out in detail.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has said he believed Putin’s main objectives are to occupy the entire Donbas, spanning the regions of Donetsk and Luhansk, and oust Ukrainian troops from Russia‘s Kursk region, parts of which they have controlled since August.
A source on Ukraine‘s General Staff, said that Ukraine now held around 800 of the 1,376 square kilometres of Kursk that they held initially and would hold it “for as long as is militarily appropriate”.
But Russia now controls 18per cent of Ukraine including all of Crimea, just over 80per cent of Donbas and more than 70per cent of the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions in the south, as well just under 3per cent of the eastern Kharkiv region, according to open source maps.
The thrust of the advance has been in Donetsk region, with Russian forces pushing towards the town of Pokrovsk and into the town of Kurakhove.
Russia has increasingly encircled territory and then pummelled Ukrainian forces with artillery and glide bombs, according to Russian analysts.
Sergei Naryshkin, the head of Russia‘s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR), said on that Moscow forces held the complete strategic initiative on the battlefield.
Neither side publishes accurate data on their own losses though Western intelligence estimates casualties to number hundreds of thousands killed or injured, while swathes of eastern and southern Ukraine have turned into wastelands.
